This is not a day-by-day prediction of events, but rather a look at the strategic trends exposed by a new administration in Washington and the economic and public health events of 2020.
Read MoreSecurity and stability is good for business and ends the political gridlock distracting the government. Even the threat of US sanctions seems to be receding. New law also makes China feel more secure about Hong Kong.
Read MoreDuterte’s sharp criticisms of the US have piqued concerns in Washington. But the trajectory for the Philippines is not nearly as concerning as Duterte’s unsettling rhetoric might suggest. And Duterte’s “pivot” toward China is neither radical nor surprising.
Read More